The best keyword to represent The Year of Earth Dog 2018 is  COMPROMISE.

The Chinese New Year of 2018 starts on February, 5th, 2019, consists of two elements, those are Yin Earth (Heavenly Stem) and Also Yin Water (Earthly Branches).

According to the cycle of constructive and destructive, which manages the relationship between 5 elements, Earth and Water are in the destructive cycle, Water is sucked by Earth, vice versa Water can trigger Landslide. The Pig is symbolized by Water, which is called Horse of Post / Travelling Horse ( in Chinese language is yi ma).

This condition will bring both positive or negative influence on the weather, social, economical and political life in either Indonesia and all over the world.

The Year of the Pig, 2019, in the Lunar calendar  ( Xia ), is influenced by two elements those are Yin Earth & Yin Water. This combination of  Earth and Water are in the destructive cycle and if the two elements are in the destructive cycle and destroy each other, then the year will have more conflicts.

Firstly, the nature of Yin Earth  is a garden or “Mother Earth” which is more gentle, relax, fertile, soft and fresh so the atmosphere will be more considerate and less stubborn and tends to be peaceful, compromise and accommodate others needs.  Under such atmosphere, there will be improvement in harmony and peace in  international relationship.

Secondly, The Yin Water (Pig) contains Yang Water and Yang Wood, so there is no conflict because Water is needed by Wood. The Water in Pig is identical with the Sea which is powerful and also a ‘Horse of Post/Traveling Horse’, which is always active, keep moving from one place to another. So the characteristic of Yin Water (Pig) is active and unstable.

CONCLUSION

The combination of Earth & Water according to the 4 Pillars 8 elements although the two elements are in destructive cycle or in conflict relationship, but there will be more considerations and easy to compromise, so that there will be an increase in harmony and peace both in domestic and international affairs.

POLITICAL ANALYSIS

As discussed earlier, the year of Earth Pig  2019 consists of Yin Earth & Yin Water Elements that have a conflict condition, but less stubborn, soft, gentle and easy to compromise. Although this  relationship will negatively affect both International & Domestic political affairs and but the possibility of conflict is small, tends to be peaceful. Under such atmosphere, there will be improvement in harmony and peace both in domestic or international relationship.
However, the peace and harmony is merely false or superficial without an understanding and an effort to compromise in each party, so finally needs solid support from people.  When the peaceful atmosphere is fragile so there will be hidden  or secretive hostility movements so there will be terrorist activities, chaos situation, unrest and rebellions in various parts of the world.

International Affairs

Firstly, in International affairs the recent conflict is between USA & China as the CNBC wrote a headline on December 4th, 2018 :  Beijing’s economic ‘red lines’ may clash with Trump’s 90-day plan, analysts say.

KEY POINTS of conflict :
  • Washington has accused China of forcing technology transfers, and tacitly supporting intellectual property violations and cyber-crime.
  • But Chinese President Xi Jinping is likely to continue lending state support to targeted industries, particularly in technology under the “Made in China 2025” program, according to TS Lombard’s Eleanor Olcott.

After dinner meeting on Saturday, December 30th, 2018, US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agree to a trade truce, no additional tariffs. and the deal includes no trade tariffs after January 1 ( South China Morning post, January 3rd, 2019)

Dinner discussions about de-escalating tensions between the world’s two largest economies lasted an hour longer than expected. Both sides appeared satisfied at the end of the gathering, with applause heard in the room as the dinner drew to a close.

Secondly, the humanitarian crisis in Yemen, has caused more than four years of war and a Saudi-led siege, almost 16 million Yemenis face “severe acute food insecurity”, according to the UN. That means one in two Yemenis doesn’t have enough to eat.  If Yemen is the world’s worst humanitarian disaster, Afghanistan suffers its deadliest fighting. In 2018, by one tally, the war killed more than 40,000 combatants and civilians. (crisisgroup.org)

Thirdly, Much like 2018, 2019 presents risks of confrontation – deliberate or inadvertent – involving the U.S., Saudi Arabia, Israel, and Iran. The first three share a common view of the government in Tehran as a threat that has been emboldened for too long and whose regional aspirations need curbing. For Washington, this has translated into withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal, the restoration of sanctions, more aggressive rhetoric, and threats of powerful retaliation in the event of Iranian provocation. Riyadh has embraced this new tone, and – mainly in the voice of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman – suggested it will fight back and seek to counter Iran in Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen, and even on Iranian soil. Israel has focused on Syria, where it has regularly struck Iranian and Iranian-aligned targets, but it has also threatened to target the Iranian-backed militant group Hizbollah in Lebanon.(crisisgroup.org)

Fourthly, Conflicts in Syria, As 2018 came to a close, it looked as if the Syrian conflict would continue along the same path. It seemed that the regime of Bashar al-Assad, with Iranian and Russian help, would win its battle against the opposition. Thewar against the Islamic State would approach the finish line.

South Sudan’s civil war erupted five years ago, 400,000 people have died. In September, President Salva Kiir and his main rival, the former vice president-turned rebel leader Riek Machar, signed an agreement to hold fire and rule together until elections in 2022.

A crisis in Cameroon’s Anglophone areas is on the verge of escalating into civil war and destabilising a country that was once considered an island of relative calm in a troubled region. The tempo of the crisis has escalated steadily since 2016, when Anglophone teachers and lawyers took to the streets to protest the creeping use of French in the education and legal systems.

The war in Ukraine continues to smoulder with no end in sight. Sparked by Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and its subsequent support for separatists in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region, it also fuels the wider geopolitical standoff between Russia and Western powers.

Home to enormous oil reserves, Venezuela ought to be the envy of its neighbours. Instead Latin America is watching apprehensively as the country’s implosion threatens to provoke a regional crisis. Venezuela’s economy is in freefall, with a devastating social impact.Poverty and malnutrition are rampant.

Fifthly, Nigeria : Nigerians will go to the polls in February 2019 to elect a president and new federal legislature, and again in March to choose state governors and lawmakers. Nigerian elections are traditionally violent affairs, and conditions this time around are particularly combustible.

The presidential contest between incumbent Muhammadu Buhari and hismain rival, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, will be hard fought.

Venezuela : Venezuela’s economy is in freefall, with a devastating social impact.Poverty and malnutrition are rampant. Once-eradicated diseases, such as diphtheria, have made a comeback. Some 3 million of Venezuela’s 31 million people have fled the country, primarily to Colombia and other neighbours. The U.N. expects that number to climb to 5.3 million by the end of 2019.

Domestic Affairs

This year Indonesia elections will be held on 17 April 2019. and for the first time in Indonesian history, the president, the vice president, and members of the People’s Consultative Assembly (MPR), will be elected on the same day with over 190 million eligible voters.

In the presidential election, which follow a direct, simple majority system, incumbent Indonesian President Joko Widodo, known as Jokowi, will run for re-election with senior Muslim cleric Ma’ruf Amin as his running mate against former general Prabowo Subianto and former Jakarta deputy governor Sandiaga Uno for the five-year term between 2019 and 2024. The election will be a re-match of the 2014 presidential election, in which Widodo defeated Prabowo.

 

President Joko ‘Jokowi’ Widodo loudly aired that the 2019 presidential and legislative elections would take place peacefully, amidst mixed perceptions about the situation that surrounds these events. The President’s remarks are apparently directed to worries that the 9 April 2019 elections could lead to serious social conflict and violence. ( GIV.news.com)

The President pointed out that Indonesia has gained enough experience in holding elections. “We have succeeded to free ourselves from the fear of instability and political violence in any of our national and regional leadership regeneration,” he said, as reported by Detik.com.

WEATHER  ANALYSIS

The Yin Earth is related to “garden earth” and “mother earth” which brings the atmosphere of relaxation and comfort. However, as Yin earth sitting on the water element is lacking support of fire, it is weak and unstable earth and this may bring earth disasters such as mount eruption, earthquake, landslide, collapse of building and avalanche.  There will be danger of “sunken ground” and trouble of building collapse with unstable foundation.

The influence of Pig which contains Yang Water element ( powerful water) will cause the weather to become wet, the rainfall will be more heavy than last year. The wet Earth has the potential to cause water disasters such as flooding ,tsunami, landslide and storm ( Tornado )

Viral Angin Puting Beliung Terjang Pesisir Cirebon, Sejumlah Bangunan Rusak (www.loveindonesia.com)

Lokasi longsor (4 Januari 2019) di Kampung Garehong, Dusun Cimapag, Kecamatan Cisolok, Kabupaten Sukabumi. (Sumber Foto:Nandi)

Volume Gunung Anak Krakatau (GAK) di Perairan Selat Sunda Banten mengalami penyusutan antara 150 sampai 180 juta meter kubik akibat erupsi dan kegempaan vulkanik selama beberapa pekan lalu. (www.brilio.net). Hal ini menjadi pemicu tsunami di Pandeglang dan Lampung (23 Desember 2018).

Jumlah korban bencana alam tsunami di Selat Sunda terus bertambah. Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) mencatat jumlah korban meninggal dunia sudah mencapai 429 orang. “Sampai hari ini update data total 429 orang meninggal dunia, 1.485 luka-luka, 154 orang hilang, 16.082 orang mengungsi,” ujar Kepala Pusat Data Informasi dan Humas BNPB, Sutopo Purwo Nugroho di Kantor Graha BNPB, Selasa (25/12/2018). (source, sultantv.co)

ECONOMIC  ANALYSIS

Firstly, The Yin Earth element of 2019 is expected to bring prosperity to wood industries  this is because wood conquers earth, so the Earth element is a symbol of prosperity to the wood industry.  The Wood Industry includes textile, fashion, media, paper, books, plants & Flowers, education and environmental industry.

Secondly, the Pig brings prosperity to Earth industries, as earth conquers water,  because it contains Water and Wood element. so the Pig provides money , profitability and famous for Earth industries such as property, real estate, construction material, nursery, mining, insurance.

Thirdly, Fire industry is active, creative and productive in 2019 as fire produces earth, Fire industries are beauty, public relation, media, aviation, food & beverage, energy, entertainment.

Fourthly, Water industry faces strong competition in this year.  So water industries  such as consulting, logistics, fisheries, tourism, shipping, transport, communication are not very good this year.

Fifthly, Metal industry such as banking, machinery, cars, also into unfavorable year as the money element to metal is wood, and wood is totally absent.  But the water of the Pig is productivity of metal, so it remains active. Metal industries are law & order, legal, Politics, automobiles, jewellery, metallurgy, finance.

In summary, the industries that will perform well in the year of Pig will be industries related to Wood element and Earth element.  Wood industries are textile, fashion, media, paper, books, plants & Flowers, education and environmental industry.  Earth industries are property, real estate, construction material, nursery, mining, insurance. Fire & Metal industries are productive but not so profitable, and Water industry faces strong competition, so it’s not good and not a prosperous year in 2019.

Penjualan Mobil Mayoritas Menurun ( Harian Nasional)

CLOSING 

This analysis uses the Four Pillars of Eight Elements method, which refers to the Five Elements and Energy Balance ( Yin & Yang ) relationship as the basic principle of Feng Shui. This analysis is not absolute but should be a reference for preparing any potential effort to face of all the bad possibilities. Thus the bad influence can be prevented, so as to create a safe and peaceful atmosphere. Hopefully.

IMPORTANT EVENTS in the YEAR of EARTH PIG 2019

Related Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *